Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.443083 5.950637 6.505627 7.161415 7.920202 8.776809 9.825956
2025-02-16 4.613239 5.296909 6.102931 7.138837 8.458506 10.117960 12.421677
2025-02-23 4.189526 4.971962 5.943515 7.270144 9.088181 11.581703 15.439868
2025-03-02 3.757738 4.558144 5.587276 7.052891 9.169942 12.270198 17.502502
2025-03-09 3.450178 4.260335 5.332377 6.914297 9.306332 13.022571 19.833654
2025-03-16 3.226848 4.047341 5.161060 6.858122 9.535610 13.938309 22.707940
2025-03-23 3.110976 3.966222 5.158700 7.039676 10.149891 15.607529 27.629316
2025-03-30 2.905992 3.742668 4.929047 6.842103 10.103664 16.082833 30.226556
2025-04-06 2.723086 3.537112 4.707894 6.631724 10.000111 16.420525 32.646192
2025-04-13 2.560810 3.350734 4.500863 6.422061 9.865958 16.665608 34.949700
2025-04-20 2.450022 3.232642 4.388274 6.355799 9.981831 17.451151 39.161477
2025-04-27 2.410813 3.217389 4.431648 6.554631 10.624322 19.544673 48.802011
2025-05-04 2.348884 3.171776 4.435710 6.708345 11.254268 21.937619 62.509049
2025-05-11 2.258008 3.077906 4.357812 6.712643 11.594058 23.783337 76.961129
2025-05-18 2.197623 3.026954 4.345153 6.834212 12.210962 26.651313 102.289618
2025-05-25 2.085619 2.887721 4.174283 6.635977 12.068642 27.240186 115.659289
2025-06-01 1.995416 2.778457 4.046898 6.509309 12.073949 28.318173 136.104537
2025-06-08 1.925018 2.697293 3.962138 6.457935 12.252941 30.073689 169.688762
2025-06-15 1.894376 2.678778 3.984420 6.623912 13.009531 34.324666 259.555526
2025-06-22 1.813268 2.573136 3.845866 6.443281 12.830372 34.879930 302.739977
2025-06-29 1.735761 2.470306 3.706982 6.250699 12.591641 35.118320 346.237808
2025-07-06 1.663158 2.372878 3.573067 6.058519 12.328156 35.172624 391.532194
2025-07-13 1.613665 2.312257 3.502794 5.997728 12.424848 36.939152 525.000543